Indian Rupee Hits Record Low of 91.08 Against US Dollar Amid Hedging Demand and Outflows

Published On: 16/12/20252 min read

The Indian Rupee has hit a new all-time low, plummeting to 91.08 against the US Dollar, a significant milestone that has caught the attention of investors and market watchers alike. This depreciation is fueled by a combination of factors including strong hedging demand from importers and persistent foreign portfolio investor (FPI) outflows.

The rupee’s journey downward has been influenced largely by external and internal pressures. On the external front, global economic uncertainties continue to put pressure on emerging market currencies, and the US Dollar has remained robust, benefiting from safe-haven flows and expectations of ongoing interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. These global trends have heightened the demand for the dollar, making the rupee’s slide more pronounced.

Internally, the Indian market is witnessing substantial hedging activity. Importers are aggressively buying dollars to hedge against future currency risk caused by the rupee’s decline. This hedging spree adds to the demand for dollars, putting more pressure on the rupee.

Additionally, foreign investors are withdrawing funds amid a cautious global investment climate, further draining liquidity and exerting downward pressure on the currency. Foreign portfolio outflows have been a major contributing factor, exacerbating the rupee’s depreciation over recent days.

This currency weakness could have mixed impacts on the Indian economy and various sectors. On the one hand, a weaker rupee makes imports more expensive, which could raise costs for businesses reliant on imported raw materials and components, potentially feeding into inflationary pressures. On the other hand, Indian exporters may benefit as their goods become cheaper and more competitive abroad, providing some offset to the negative impacts.

Market analysts are closely monitoring the situation, noting that the rupee’s performance is tightly linked to evolving global macroeconomic factors, including the trajectory of US interest rates, geopolitical developments, and the overall investment sentiment toward emerging markets.

In the broader market context, this currency movement adds an extra layer of volatility. Investors are recommended to stay vigilant about currency risk while being mindful of sector-specific vulnerabilities and opportunities that arise from the changing forex landscape.

To sum up, the Indian rupee hitting a record low of 91.08 against the US dollar underscores the challenges posed by global economic uncertainty, aggressive hedging by importers, and ongoing foreign portfolio outflows. Navigating this dynamic environment will require careful attention to both domestic policy developments and international market trends as the situation unfolds.

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